CheGuevara betting picks

free pick

writting from mobile because my laptop got broken and isnt working.. so no lot of infos today…

 

Portugal 2 league

Farense – Leixoes 1 @1.91 bet365

stake 3/10

two average teams with equal quality..

Leixoes is very very bad on away ground they won only 1 point in 9 matches on away ground.. 0w-1d-8l , big problem today because two top scorers and important midifler are out today, Valente(att 18/9 top scorer), Moedes(mf 18/4 ,2nd scorer) and Mendes(mf 18/1) are all unavailable, Lenho(att 7/1),Chiquinho(mf 6/0) and Augusto(att 2/0) are also out..

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saturday infos

Manchester City – Crystal Palace
pick: Man City under 2,5 goals @1.57 (bet365)    this means man city to score under 2,5 goals (if they score 1 or 2 goals we win)
Big problems for Manchester City becuase they miss all three strikers, Jovetic(att 9/4 ,2nd scorer,Dzeko(att 11/2) and Aguero(Att 15/14 top scorer) are all injured, key defender Kompany(df 13/0 captain) is also out due to injury!.

Aston Villa – Manchester United 2 @1.65
A.Villa miss eight players for this match and most of them important, Baker(df 7/0),Senderos(df 8/0),Cole(mf 4/1),Wetwood(mf 14/0) and Kozak(att 0/0) are all injured, Hutton(df 13/1), Richardson(df 14/0) and Cleverley(mf 13/0) are all three suspended!
Man Utd no more injury problems, at the start of season they were missing lot of players especially in defence but now situation is ok, Rojo(df 10/0) and di Maria(att 11/3) are finally back! Out are: FEllaini(mf 11/2),Smalling(df 9/1),Shaw(df 7/0) and Blind(df 8/1)

Hull – Swansea
Hull will miss Dawson(key df 11/0), two key midiflers Huddlestone(mf 15/0 suspended) and Diame(mf 10/4), Ben Arfa(mf 8/0) and Snodrgass(att 1/0) are also out!

Italy Serie B
BAri – Latina
Bari with some important absences, Rossini(df 8/0), Contini(df 13/0), Ligi(df 14/0), Calderoni(df 10/0), Stevanovic(mf 15/1), Donati(mf 15/1) and Wolski(mf 7/0) are all out due to different reasons.
Latina miss Bruno(mf 15/0), Ricciardi(mf 2/0),ANgelo(df 10/0) and Esposito(df 5/0)

Virtus Entella – Livorno
Entella without Pelizzoli(first gk 11/0), Rinaudo(df 8/0), Cesar(df 14/1), Sansovini(att 14/4 top scorer), Moreo(att 5/0), Staiti(mf 1/0) and BAldan(df 3/0)

Holland Eerste
Jong Ajax – De Graafschap
Jong Ajax without help from first team today so that could make them problems..

Helmond – Volendam
Helmond miss De Regt(df 11/0), Jusiana(df 7/0) and key striker Tuyp(att 16/5 ,2nd scorer). Doubtful are: Visser(mf 15/3), KAzlauskas(df 17/0), Fecunda(att 6/0), Sequira(mf 13/0) and Elbers(Att 17/9 top scorer)

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Premier League pick (20th december)

Southampton – Everton
Everton +0ah @2.20 betvictor  2.16 sbobet   2.14 pinnacle
stake: 4/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/premier-league/southampton-everton/jwX6xubQ/

Southampton is in terrible form I lost money on them last time when i bet on them (in cup vs Sheffield on Tuesday, they lost 1-0 vs 3rd league side) and they were playing bad no matter they field best eleven.. today Southampton could have problems with tiredness because they played with strong eleven vs Sheffield in cup match, also they will have big problems with absences!!! Gardos(df 3/0), key midifler Schneiderlin(mf 13/3) and key midifler Wanyama(mf 15/3) are all suspended, best player Jay Rodriguez(mf 0/0) is long term injured, Cork(mf 11/2), Tadic(mf 16/1 ,best assistant), Hesketh(mf 2/0) and Gallagher(att 0/0) are all injured and wont play, Pelle(att 16/7 top scorer) and Davis(mf 15/0) are both very doubtfull but most probably will be forced to play! http://www1.skysports.com/football/live/match/313553/preview
biggest problems for Southampton will be in midfield where they only have Reed(CM 1/0, 19y old), Ward-Prowse(CM 6/0 ,20y old), Isgrove(AM 1/0 ,21y old) and Davis(who is not fully fit) , so only 3 fit and 100% ready players but all of them are very young and unexperienced…

Everton will want to make their 2nd in a row league win, tomorrow Everton will be without Osman, Mirallas and Hibbert.. good news is that Barry is back after suspension

everton is in better form, better mood and with this absences and poor form in home team this should be draw or away win..
my prediction 1-2 or 1-3, gl

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macedonia basketball

Karpos Sokoli – Kozuv 2 @2.45 bet365

stake 3/10

 

i took this bet with max bet on bet365 and odds dropped..

Karpos is strong at home but this odds are notrealistic, fair odds here should be 2.00 – 1.70

Kozuv is having maybe 3rd or 4th best team in leaugue but they are fixers with big boss amd many serbians.. when they play clear matchesh with 100% concentrate they could win everyone.. for example they won champion Mzt pretty easy..

 

I talk with one player who is playing in 1st league also and he told me that Kozuv is fefinitelly better only problem is home court on Karpos… Karpos is playing practically with 7 players in rotation because two important are still injyred..

 

value odds and gl

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strong free pick, friday (19th december)

Germany 2 Bundesliga
Heidenheim – Braunschwig
pick: braunschwig +0ah @1.8 (betvictor)
stake: 3/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/2-bundesliga/heidenheim-braunschweig/Mc93Pcfp/

New promoted team in league Heidenheim today will met Bundesliga’s relegated team from last season Braunschwig.. Braunschwig of course left most of starters from last season but 4 or 5 starters who were very important last season stayed to help to team to promote again, and of course still they have very strong team for this competition and their target is again promotion in Bundesliga!

Heidenheim on 9t position with 25pts, with 3 very important defensive missings, Zimmermann(first gk 14/0) is injured, central defensive duo Kraus(df 13/1) and Wittek(df 15/0) are both suspended, while striker Grimaldi(att 5/1) is questionable.

i see value in this odds..

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friday 19th december infos.

Germany 2 Liga
Dusseldorf – Union Berlin
Dusseldorf in little injury crisis, out are Rensing(first gk 12/0), Avevor(df 14/0), Schmitz(df 9/0), Schmidtgal(df 3/0), Fink(mf 0/0), Bebou(att 0/0), Lambertz(mf 5/0) and Silva(mf 15/1).

Italy Serie B
Lanciano – Carpi
Lanciano missing four players Paghera(mf 16/0), Pinato(mf 6/1), Turchi(att 7/1) and Cerri(att 9/4).
Carpi without Dossena(gk 1/0), Poli(df 14/0), Romagnoli(df 18/1), Laner(mf 0/0), Porcari(mf 16/0), Ndianga(att 0/0), Lasagna(att 10/1) and Mbakogu(att 17/10 top scorer)

Holland Eerste Divisie
FC Oss – Jong Twente
Oss missing three strikers, van den Meiracker(att 0/0), Falkenstein(att 9/2) and van Veen(att 18/13 top scorer).
Jong Twente without Zshusschen(att 16/6)

Emmen – Waalwijk
Emmen without Menting(mf 3/0) and Bannik(mf 12/7).
Serious problems with absences for Waalwijk, out are: Mosselveld(df 14/1), Verkoelen(df 16/0), Zeelst(mf 12/0), Martina(df 9/0), De Braal(mf 1/0), Rommedahl(att 0/0), Calabro(att 8/2), Esajas(att 11/3)

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18/12 info

Handball SEHA
Tatran Presov – Meshkov Brest
Hard schedule for Meshkov because this is their 4th match in just 8 days … players are little tired, for exmaple in last match in 2nd half some of them was just walking… today bigger problems, out are; Manojlović(B 10/40 top scorer), Karačić(B 3/6), Nikulenka(B 10/19).. now they will have small rotation.

Basketball Denmark
Copenhagen – Randers

i was waiting for this match whole week and now i missed starting handicap line which was -8,5ah, now line is on -15,5ah points and i dont see value anymore.. :@

here is info
Becuase of big financial problems in team and late payments some of best players decide to leave the club, Charles Burgess(19,6ppg-4,5rpg-3,6apg), Dragan Petronic(7,9ppg-5,9rpg), Adrian Casas(3,4ppg-1,1rpg), Canan Colman(12,1ppg-5,3rpg-4,2apg) and Ivan Miskovic(13,5ppg-7,5rpg) all left club, ok they make some signings to cover that positions but they bring only 3-4 players while club left 5 players.. Christensen(2,5ppg) and key player Bonnel Colas(C 10,3ppg-6,8rpg) are still carrying injuries and are questionable for tonight’s match. And another big blow is that Joe Benjamin(11,1ppg-6,8rpg) before just 5 days left club and go exactly in today opponent SISU Copenhagen!!

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17/12 infos

Basketbal Europe
Agu Spor W – Brno W

Brno W vs everyone in group lost with more than 29 points which is terrible record, today they will miss 3 important players Aili(10,8ppg-4,5rpg-3,0apg), Tetemondova(13,3ppg-5,0rpg) and Stejskalova(13,6ppg-3,7rpg), especially last missings will be BIG BLOW for club because he is top scorer.
i expect easy home win becuase also they need it to go on some of the top 4 places.
Agu Spor -30,5ah @1.85 (pinnacle)

Greece SuperLeague
OFI - Kalloni
In normal case I would make a bet on away side because they are much better team but they are in great relations and last season OFI helped to Kalloni to stay in league so now Kalloni own them some points and must give them back so for me this is big NO BET.
OFI without 9 players,out are: Razak(mf 9/0), George(att 11/0), Fazos(df 0/0), Giagiozis(gk 0//0), Kaladzic(mf 3/0), Feruz(att 1/0), Perogamvrakis(att 6/1) and Koutsianikoulis(att 9/0)… also club is in mess, atmosfhere is very bad.
Kalloni full squad..

Kerkyra – Ergotelis
Ergotlis in serious defensive problems, Cerny(first gk 11/0) and important central defender Melli(df 10/1) are injured, Lykogiannis(LB 11/1) and another cd Jovanovic(df 11/1) are suspended, Vlachodimos(att 4/0) is injured too

 

Germany 2 league

Ingolstdt – St.Pauli
best vs worst team in league, best hosts vs worst guests, best attack vs worst defence..
St.Pauli still in injury problems, out re Thorandt(df 2/0), Kalla(df 4/0), Kringe(mf 5/0), Alushi(mf 10/1), Buchtmann(mf 7/0), Budimir(mf 15/0) and Nothe(att 13/3)

France Coupe
Guingamp – Arles
Arles miss first keeper and top scorers, few others are also out, Bosmel(gk 6/0), Yattara(gk 2/0), Toure(att 12/5 top scorer), Niang(att 9/1), Rodriguez(mf 16/0), Ngakoutou(att 9/1) all not called for this match.
http://www.arlesavignon.net/aca-eag-les-groupes-retenus/ here squads for both teams
Guingamp going with strong squad! and i expect them to win easily here.

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coupe de france

Bastia – Caen 
Caen +0,25ah @1.88 (188bet)
stake: 4/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/france/coupe-de-la-ligue/bastia-caen/zg3X23rH/

Bastia without some very important players, out are Diakite(df 12/0), Palmieri(df 17/0), Modeste(df 10/1), Squilacci(df 14/0), captain Cahuzac(mf 10/1), Boudebouz(mf 17/2), Ba(mf 7/0), Ayite(mf 15/2), Maboulou(mf 14/3 ,2nd scorer), Rodriguez(att 5/0) and best striker Tallo(att 12/4 top scorer)..
true both teams are very weak and both are on the bottom of table in league table but Bastia in this case is much weaker without all this players 6-7 regular starters are out so that could be problem..

Caen miss only four players, Jean-Jacques Pierre(df 12/0), N’Golo Kanté(mf 17/2), Fodé Koïta(att 17/2) et Mathieu Duhamel(att 16/6 top scorer).

squads of both teams http://www.smcaen.fr/actualites/depeches?dhref=http%3A//www.smcaen.fr/liste-saisons/saison-2014-2015/actualites/depeches/cdl.-bastia-sm-caen-les-groupes
- Le groupe BASTIA: Alphonse Areola (g), Jean-Louis Leca (g) – Gilles Cioni, Florian Marange, Mathieu Peybernes, Romaric, Romain Achilli, Abdoulaye Keita, Alexander Djiku, Luka Kikabidze, Guillaume Gillet, Christophe Vincent, Juan Pablo Pino, Benjamin Mokulu – François Kamano, Djibril Cissé, Famoussa Koné, Hervin Ongenda.

- Le groupe CAEN : Rémy Vercoutre (g), Damien Perquis (g) – Jean Calvé, Dennis Appiah, Damien Da Silva, Alaeddine Yahia, Felipe Saad, Alexandre Raineau, Emmanuel Imorou – Jordan Adéoti, Nicolas Seube, José Saez, Thomas Lemar, Julien Féret (cap) – Sloan Privat, Florian Raspentino, Hervé Bazile, Lenny Nangis.

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tuesday

Germany Bundesliga
Bayern Munich – Freiburg
B.Munich is amazing.. on home ground 8w-0d-0l with 25:2 goal difference.. today miss Lahm,Javi Martinez, Badstuber and few others not so important, but they have wide squad so that wont be problem.
Freiburg without few very important midiflers today, out are; Darida(mf 14/5), Frantz(mf 12/2), Philipp(att 9/0), Schmid(mf 15/2), Stanko(mf), Zulechner(att 2/0)

Hamburger SV – Stuttgart
HSV miss Adler(gk 2/0), Jansen(df 2/0), Westermann(df 12/0), Beister(mf 0/0)
Stuttgart without Rüdiger(df 14/0), Abdellaoue(att 0/0), Ibisevic(att 7/0)

Koln – Mainz
impressive win for Koln last week, atmosfhere in team is good now. no absences.
Mainz miss Zentner(gk 0/0), Bungert(df 11/0), Roßbach(df 0/0), Schilk(df 0/0), Baumgartlinger(mf 10/0) (Kniesehnenreizung), Hofmann(mf 6/3),, Moritz(mf 7/0) and Nedelev(mf 0/0)

Germany 2 Liga
Furth – Bochum
Furth without Sukalo(mf 15/3), Mickel(gk 6/0) and George(att 1/0), others are long term injured..
Bochum witout Luthe(first gk 12/0), Simunek(df 6/0), Latza(mf 17/0 suspended), Holhtahus(mf 4/0) and Cwielong(att 2/0)

FSV Frankfurt – Heidenheim
Frankfurt without Aoudia(att),Pagenburg(att),Yelen(mf 4/0),Burdenski(mf),Epstein(att 7/0) and Kapplani(att 16/5).
Heidenheim miss Zimmermann(first gk 14/0) and Kraus(df 13/1)

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